🏀 Best March Madness Player Props Today: Sweet 16 Picks & Odds for Friday (March 27)
After a thrilling start to the Sweet 16, our experts' best March Madness player props today cover all four Friday games with 12 total prop picks across the slate. Our college basketball experts have broken down their three best player prop picks for each game, as we break down their best bets below as part of our March Madness predictions for every 2026 NCAA Tournament matchup.
🏀 Best Michigan State vs. UConn player prop picks (9:45 PM ET, CBS)
| Player | Prop pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Tarris Reed, C, UConn | Under 14.5 points (−125) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Coen Carr, F, Michigan State | Under 0.5 3-pointers made (−115) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Alex Karaban, F, UConn | Over 1.5 assists (−145) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Here’s why Mike Spector is fading Tarris Reed against Michigan State’s elite post defense:
“Tarris Reed has been feast or famine of late, scoring 17 or more points in three of the last five games, while being held to 10 or fewer in the other two. The Huskies run great off the ball action in an effort to clear out space for Reed to work one-on-one, but the issue is that Michigan State has one of the country’s elite individual post defenders to guard Reed. Spartans center Carson Cooper allows just 0.68 points per possession in man-to-man post matchups. And Michigan State overall ranks in the top-50 per KenPom in 2-point percentage defense.”
Spector is also selling high on Coen Carr’s recent 3-point shooting in his Michigan State vs. UConn player props while targeting an Alex Karaban assists play against Michigan State’s porous off-ball defense.
🏆️ Who wins Michigan State vs. UConn?
Brenden Schaeffer is calling for the outright upset in his Michigan State vs. UConn prediction, projecting a narrow win by the Spartans in a coin-flip affair.
🏀 Best Tennessee vs. Iowa State player prop picks (10:10 PM ET, TBS)
| Player | Prop pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic, F, Iowa State | Over 3.5 made 3-pointers (+100) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Ja’Kobi Gillespie, G, Tennessee | Under 19.5 points (−120) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Nate Ament, F, Tennessee | Under 5.5 rebounds (−114) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Here’s why Phil Wood is backing Milan Momcilovic to hit at least four 3-pointers at even money against Tennessee:
“If you checked out my Tennessee vs. Iowa State prediction, then you know I love Momcilovic in this matchup. The sharpshooter averages 3.7 made 3-pointers per game, and he’s shooting 49.3% from deep this season. Momcilovic has made at least four 3-pointers in 17 of his 36 games this season, so getting this at +100 at FanDuel provides excellent value, especially since the status of Jefferson, Iowa State’s second-leading scorer, is still unknown.”
Wood is also fading Ja’Kobi Gillespie’s scoring line against Iowa State’s fifth-ranked defense with his Tennessee vs. Iowa State player props while targeting a Nate Ament rebounding Under after a rough first two rounds.
🏆️ Who wins Tennessee vs. Iowa State?
Wood backs the Under as a two-unit play in his Tennessee vs. Iowa State prediction with possessions at a premium between these grinding offenses.
🏀 March Madness Sweet 16 predictions & player props
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Michigan State vs. UConn prediction | Michigan State vs. UConn player props |
| Tennessee vs. Iowa State prediction | Tennessee vs. Iowa State player props |
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