🏒 Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Odds: NHL Picks Today (April 4)
Last Updated: April 4, 2026 3:53 PM EDT • 4 minute read X Social Google News Link
Two of the top teams in the Central Division clash tonight as the Colorado Avalanche face off against the Dallas Stars. Colorado enters following a surprising 8-6 home loss to the Vancouver Canucks, while Dallas is coming off an impressive 3-0 shutout win over the Winnipeg Jets. Puck drop is set for 3 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center, with coverage available on ABC and streaming via ESPN+.
The Avalanche are -114 road favorites, while the total sits at 6.5. My Avalanche vs. Stars prediction targets the road team, plus a score prediction and a player prop for Avalanche defenseman Sam Malinski.
🏒 Avalanche vs. Stars picks & odds today: April 4
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Bet type | Units | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Avalanche ML (-114 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 0.87u | The Avalanche are 10-1 SU in their last 11 road games played. Stars are 2-6 SU in last eight matchups |
| Over 6.5 (+114 via DraftKings) | 1u -> 1.14u | Over has won in 5 of previous 6 head-to-head matchups |
| Sam Malinski Over 0.5 points (+125 via BetMGM) | 1u -> 1.25u | 1+ points in four of previous five starts |
Total wagered: 3.0 units | Max profit: 3.26 units
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💰 Avalanche vs. Stars prediction & best bet today
Avalanche ML (-114)
The Avalanche hold a six-point lead over the Stars to sit atop the Central Division. Both teams have already clinched a playoff berth but want to gain momentum, especially in a divisional matchup.
The Stars are 2-1 SU against the Avalanche this season. They have yet to beat the Avalanche at home, and they have lost six of their last eight matchups.
The Avalanche rallied at American Airlines Center the last time these teams played, posting a 5-4 shootout win. After a bad loss to the Canucks, expect Nathan MacKinnon to lead the Avs to victory.
Score prediction: Avalanche 4, Stars 3 (+2000 via FanDuel)
🔥 Best Avalanche vs. Stars player prop bet today
Sam Malinski Over 0.5 points (+125)
Colorado defenseman Sam Malinski has been on a tear lately. The Avalanche have seen Malinski notch three multi-point games in his last five starts, including a point in four of his previous five outings.
After logging an assist in the first matchup against the Stars, Malinski has been held without a point in the past two games against their divisional foe.
Logging close to 20 minutes ATOI lately, plus featuring on the top defensive line and second powerplay unit, Malinski is available at a big value in the 1+ point market. The top price for this prop bet is +125 via BetMGM.
📊 Live Avalanche vs. Stars odds
The Stars have dropped from -110 to -105 moneyline odds since opening. This has made the Avalanche a slight road favorite at -114 odds on the moneyline at our best sports betting sites.
The Avalanche have had two full days of rest, compared to one day for the Stars. The Avalanche have been a power house on the road lately, winning 10 of their past 11 matchups away from home. Meanwhile, the Stars have lost three of the last four games played at American Airlines Center.
🚀 Avalanche vs. Stars same-game parlay
Despite both teams locking in a playoff seed, this matchup fosters a fierce rivalry. All three previous games went into overtime, so expect a tight contest with a flurry of goals from both sides, leading to over 6.5 total goals.
The Avalanche have a tendency to play better on the road, while the Stars have not won back-to-back games since March 12th and 14th. Colorado has scored 15 goals in its last two games played, while Dallas has allowed four or more goals in two of three games against the Avalanche this season.
Sam Malinski should be primed for another productive outing today against the Stars. He's been filling in nicely for an injured Cale Makar and will have scoring chances in the offensive zone.
💵 Avalanche vs. Stars SGP picks
- Avalanche ML (-114)
- Over 6.5 (+114)
- Sam Malinski (+125)
Best odds: +804 via DraftKings (0.5u -> 4.01u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-2 | -2.3 units ❌ |
| Player props | 0-1 | -1 units ❌ |
| Parlays | 0-1 | -0.5 units ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Avalanche vs. Stars
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
We're dropping 3.5 units on a huge Central Division rivalry game between the Avalanche and Stars today. Colorado is looking to improve to 2-0 on the road in Dallas this season to even the series at 2-2.
Sam Malinski is one of the top Avalanche defensemen who is available to bet for 1+ points at plus odds. The Stars have not been able to post back-to-back wins in close to a month, while dropping six of their past eight games. Overs have also been a common theme between these opponents, hitting in five of the past six matchups.
Our three-leg parlay has a 0.5 unit stake on +804 odds to haul in over 4.0 units of profit.
📈 Avalanche vs. Stars betting trends
| Avalanche | Statistic | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| 49-15-10 | W-L record | 45-19-12 |
| 37-37 | ATS record | 30-46 |
| 32-39-3 | O/U record | 37-39 |
| 3-2 | Last 5 games | 2-3 |
🚑 Avalanche vs. Stars injuries
📺 How to watch Avalanche vs. Stars
- Date: Saturday, April 4
- Puck drop: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
- TV: ABC
- Steaming: ESPN+
Matt MacKay X social